« Iraq Briefings 15/19 November 2007 | Main | More on the Islamic Saudi Academy »
November 21, 2007
A Counterproductive Attempt at Legacy
I've wanted to write about this for a few weeks, not, but another story or issue always won out. This today from the AP in the Washington Times sent me over the top
The United States will try to close an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal before President Bush's term expires, giving the administration a little over a year to help the two sides craft a resolution to one of the world's longest and most intractable conflicts. ..."The parties have said they are going to make efforts to conclude it in this president's term, and it's no secret that means about a year," Rice said. "That's what we'll try and do. Nobody can guarantee that - all you can do is make your best effort."
Just what I suspected; Bush wants to go out a "peacemaker". This might be bearable, but for this, reported by Agence France Presse
US President George W. Bush made more calls to Middle East leaders Tuesday as Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice pinned the success of next week's Annapolis conference on simply opening negotiations for a Palestinian state, even without a work plan."The success of this meeting is really in the launch of negotiations between the Israelis and Palestinians for the establishment of a Palestinian state and therefore a two-state solution," Rice said about the conference planned for Annapolis, Maryland, near Washington.
As with so many others, the President and his Secretary of State have it exactly wrong. The problem is not the lack of a "two state solution." The problem is that the Palestinians are ruled by terrorists who want to destroy it. Specifically, neither Fatah nor Hamas have given up their "right of return"
The "Right of return" is one in which the Palestinians insist that the refugees, and their descendants, allegedly displaced during the 1948 war of independence, have the right to return to Israel proper and claim the land that they say they owned. Depending on which website you believe, this would mean anywhere from 3.5 to 6 million Arabs moving into Israel, a country of 6 million Jews and 1 million Arabs. The clear purpose of the "right of return" is to destroy Israel.
Fatah (or "Fateh"), is supposedly the "good" organization with whom we can make peace. Yet on their website they insist on this "Right of return"
The inalienable rights of the Palestinian people include the right to self-determination, the right of return, the establishment of a sovereign state with Jerusalem as its capital.
Also, as part of their constitution (somehow now missing from their website) is this
Obstacles to Peace
The first obstacle to a settlement, then is the Palestinian insistence on a "right of return"
The second obstacle, though, is the Israeli fear that if they give the Palestinians a state terrorist and rocket attacks will continue as before.
The settlements are not an obstacle. If you want to know why, read what I wrote here. The short version, however is this: If the settlements are the problem today, what was the problem before 1967?
But perhaps the bigglest obstacle to peace is that the Palestians are in a state of near chaos. As it is, the Palestinian territories are split; Fatah rules the West Bank and Hamas Gaza.
If Mahmud Abbas ("Abu Mazen", or whatever name he goes by these days) reaches a settlement, will the rest of Fatah go along? What about the other political parties that make up the Palestinian Authority? Will Hamas agree to any settlement?
Of course, it's unlikely in the extreme that anyone except Abbas and his closest associates will agree to anything. The rest of them will reject the settlement, and will continue with their terrorism and Qassam rockets.
Just consider this: Ismail Haniyeh is a senior Hamas official. On March 29, 2006 he was sworn in as Prime Minister of the Palestinian Authority. Abbas dismissed him on June 14 2007, but Haneyeh refuses to accept Abbas' authority and says that he is still PM, governing what he can from Gaza. There is a big dispute over the legality of Abbas' dismissal of him but the point is that they can't govern themselves. Haniyeh is part of the rejectionist camp, having declared in December of 2006 that "we will never recognize the usurper Zionist government and will continue our jihad-like movement until the liberation of Jerusalem."
Some say that if we give them (or allow them to have) a country the infighting will cease and they'll behave. I consider this argument unpersuasive.
I used to think that the Palestinians (as they are called, a whole debate unto itself) should have their own country. No more. Until they can behave with a minimum of decency they should not be allowed to rule anything.
As such, any meeting in Annapolis will be counterproductive. The Palestinians will be promised a country before having had to make any concessions. They will then refuse to give up their "right of return" or make any meaningful concessions of their own. Because of this refusal they will not be given a state, just promised one at some indefinate time in the future. Abbas and his cronies will get mad, and this will be a signal to the terror masters that it is time to unleash their minions and start another Intifada. Israel will retaliate, and the world will condem Israel.
Andrew McCarthy, writing in National Review this past June, summed up his analysis if Fatah and the prospects for a peace agreement with them by saying that
The Palestinians are a backward people, indoctrinated toward brutality. They don’t rate a sovereign state or anyone’s help until they civilize themselves. Sovereignty is a privilege that implies acceptance of civilized norms — that is why we speak of states like Iran and North Korea as “rogues.” Regardless of whether there really are scattered Palestinian moderates, it is a dangerous fantasy to assume the Palestinian people, as a whole, are ready to be anyone’s peace partner.We are enabling their hatred when we provide support without insisting that the Palestinian people — not just Abbas and Fatah, but the people — convincingly foreswear revolution, terrorism, violence, ethnic-cleansing, and the goal of eliminating Israel. We are a generation or more, at least, from any hope of such developments. In the meantime, as long as we subsidize the hatred, we shall be buying more of it, while giving the Palestinians no incentive to reform.
My thoughts exactly.
Posted by Tom at November 21, 2007 9:00 PM
Trackback Pings
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.theredhunter.com/mt/refer.cgi/1026
Comments
Happy Thanksgiving!
Posted by: Americaneocon at November 22, 2007 12:06 AM
This conference is another attempt at appeasing the Pseudostinians.
Posted by: Always On Watch at November 22, 2007 12:20 PM
snake hunters sez,
Peace In Palestine is an Illusion;
they have no viable government.
They have Hamas; they have Fatah.
These two hate each other. They plan,
they re-group, they kill each other.
They pause only long enough to murder
a few Infidel Jews, then go at each
other's throat. It's a monotonous,
repetitious Kill-Culture. reb
Posted by: Ralph E. at November 24, 2007 2:36 AM
You nailed it here Tom.
Interesting that the AFP story says:
"The western-backed Palestinian leadership and other Arab allies expected the conference to tackle the thorniest issues: the status of east Jerusalem, occupied by Israel in 1967; the boundaries of a future Palestinian state; the status of Palestinian refugees; and Jewish settlements."
Not one word in the AFP story about the real challenge which is Hamas and the civil war in Palestine (talk about a quagmire).
I wonder if Condi's opposition in the first term to any direct involvement by President Bush hasn't been altered by her new role as Secretary of State. Everyone who takes that job becomes a hostage to that department full of Arabist appeasers.
But there may be another angle too. This could be an effort to legitimize Abbas thereby destablising Hamas.
Either way, it will be interesting to see they can make ANY progress in Anapolis.
Posted by: Mike's America at November 25, 2007 1:49 AM
And if it's not for the Paleostinians, the other Arabs at the summit are worthless too.
BEFORE 1967, nothing stood in the way of a Paleostinian state on the West Bank. Between 1948 and 1967 they did nothing about it. Why should they now?
Posted by: Outlaw Mike at November 25, 2007 11:45 AM
Mike's America said:
If true, then I'm even more disappointed in Sec Rice. Throughout the 90s we tried to "legitimize" and "strengthen" Yassir Arafat against Hamas and other terrorist orginizations, believing that he could be a "partner for peace". It didn't work with him and I doubt it'll work with Abbas.
Posted by: Tom the Redhunter at November 25, 2007 6:43 PM
For as long as I can remember, I've been hearing about attempts to broker peace in the Middle East.
No matter how much territory Israel cedes, it's never enough.
As stated in this posting, The clear purpose of the "right of return" is to destroy Israel.
Posted by: Always On Watch at November 29, 2007 5:33 AM



