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March 8, 2008
Let's Not Jump to Conclusions
As a child I used to love Sherlock Holmes stories. When I grew up I enjoyed the British television series starring Jeremy Brett. Often, and the beginning of a case, Watson would ask Holmes who he thought did it. Holmes would sternly advise Watson that he never speculated. No evidence, no conclusion.
i likewise caution my conservative friends to avoid jumping to conclusions regarding the bombing this week of the Armed Forces Recruiting Center in Times Square.
It is certainly possible that a leftist anti-war extremist committed the attack. The motive for doing so is clear. And it's not as if military recruiting stations haven't been attacked, although not yet so violently. A bunch of leftists stormed and got inside one at 14th & L streets in Washington DC last month, and they bragged about it on DC Indymedia. The Berkeley CA Marine Corps Recruiting Station is under seige, and there are many more similar cases.
So yes, it would be logical for the police to consider the possibility that a leftist ani-war extremist did it. But that's hardly the only possibility.
Conservatives need to be careful and not jump to conclusions.
We've already seen that the anti-war letter sent to several members of Congress turn out not to have been related to the bombing. Yet when it was first announced that there was such a letter I saw many posts by people who seemed quite certain that it was all tied together.
It's possible that instead of a leftist, the bombing was committed by a right-wing militia member. The militia movement in the United States is larger than most people realize. In one of the less heralded accomplishments of law enforcement, the movement was largely defanged after the 1995 Oklahoma City bombing. But there are still a lot of militia members who hate our government and military every bit as much as the far left.
It's also possible that it was done by someone who had been denied entrance into the military for mental reasons and so decided to bomb the center.
It's possible that it was done by an ex-soldier who has a grudge against the military.
It's possible that it was done by someone with a personal grudge against one of the recruiters that has nothing do do with the military at all.
There are a whole universe of possibilities.
I think you'll all recall that it was initially assumed by many that the Oklahoma City bombing was committed by a Muslim truck bomber. There was certainly precedent for such an act, and if Timothy McVeigh had not been caught so quickly one would have expected the police to make Muslim extremists one area of inquiry. But one would have also expected them to pursue other possibilities, including the militia movement.
I'm not saying that a leftist anti-war extremist didn't do the bombing. I'm saying that those who jump to that conclusion before all of the facts are known run a serious risk of ending up with egg on their faces. That's all.
Posted by Tom at March 8, 2008 11:34 AM
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Comments
I've been thinking along these same lines, though I haven't posted on the topic of the bombing of the NYC recruitment center.
Posted by: Always On Watch at March 8, 2008 6:12 PM



