« No, the Settlements are Not the Problem | Main | Iraq Briefing - 09 June 2008 - Job Creation to Defeat the Insurgency »

June 11, 2008

Missed Opportunities

In my last post I promised to review missed opportunities for peace in the Arab-Israeli conflict. Here it is, as promised.

One: The Arabs could have accepted the 1948 UN plan which would have divided the area and created two countries; Palestine and Israel. But instead they invaded with 8 armies.

Two: If it was so important for the Palestinians to have a homeland on what is termed the "West Bank", then Jordan could have given them this land at any time between 1948 and 1967, because they controlled it. But they didn't, and King Hussein's bad decisions during the Six Day War cost him this land.

Three: After the 1967 Six Day War Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Dayan famously said that he was "expecting a phone call"; from the Arab governments. He expected them to agree to peace treaties in return for getting their land back. He never got any calls.

Four: The Arabs could have taken Anwar Sadat's lead and approached Israel to make similar deals. Instead, they threw Egypt out of the Arab League and made Sadat a pariah. When he was murdered they celebrated throughout the Arab world.

Five: Yassir Arafat could have agreed to the deal offered him at Camp David in 2000 by President Clinton and Israeli PM Ehud Barak. But instead of taking an offer that would have created a Palestinian state, he started an intifada that took hundreds if not thousands of lives.

Yes yes I know the objections; the 1948 plan was unfair to the Arabs and the Zionists would have chased them off the land anyway, that it was unrealistic to expect Jordan to give up part of their territory for the Palestinians, that the Arabs would have lost face had they called Moshe Dayan in 1967, that the situation with regard to Egypt and the Sinai was different, and that the 2000 deal would have left too many Israeli settlements.

But by rejecting every opportunity for peace, the Arabs miss something else too. If they had accepted the UN plan in 1948 and the Zionists had then chased them off the UN designated land, they'd have a case. If Jordan had given them land on the "West Bank" after 1948 and Israel had invaded without provocation, they'd have a case. If the Israeli's hadn't returned the land they won in the 1967 Six Day War after reasonable negotiations they'd have a case. If they'd tried to follow up on the Carter-Sadat-Begin settlement and been rebuffed they'd have a case. And if they'd accepted Clinton and Baruk's proposal at Camp David in 2000 and the Israelis reneged they'd have a case.

But in each case they didn't. They missed their opportunity and thus have no case, or at least have a weaker one.

And no I am not saying that the Israelis have been perfect. I wish they had not built so many settlements, and that they would stop building new ones.

For the sake of argumentation we'll take take every Arab objection at face value. But what have the Palestinians got now? Only a rump Palestinian Authority and no real nation. Isn't half a loaf better than none?

Further, as time goes on the land available to the Palestinians grows smaller and smaller. It's like a declining stock; if you sell you lose money, but the longer you wait the more money you lose. Eventually you figure out it's not going to go back up again and you cut your losses, sell, and move on.

As the Israeli diplomat and politician Abba Eban said, "the Arabs never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity"

Posted by Tom at June 11, 2008 9:00 PM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.theredhunter.com/mt/refer.cgi/1137

Comments

TRH,

Regrettably for the Palestinians, history teaches us a few things which convinces me that however many opportunities the Palestinians missed in the past, they will also eschew them in the future.

Here are three of many items:

1. The Palestinians have never been an autonomous people who have ruled themselves. Starting w/ the destruction of the Kingdom of Judea, they have been ruled variously by the Romans, Byzantines, Arabs, Crusaders, Mamluks, Ottomans, Eqyptians, Ottomans again, and the British. This may explain why self governance has proven to be such a challenge for them.

2. The Palestinians have proven themselves to be a troublesome lot. Recall their expulsion from Jordan in 1971 following Black September in 1970.

3. Also recall how the emigrant Palestinian workers in Kuwait cheered the invasion of that country by Saddam Hussein.

I don't see any hope here.

TLGK

Posted by: TLGK at June 12, 2008 4:04 PM

Hey Tom,

I can tell from your site that you're a bigger book reader than I am, and I envy you for that.

Anyways, if you could recommend one book on the history of the Israeli-Arab-Palestinian conflict, what would it be?

Posted by: The Foreigner at July 5, 2008 12:42 AM

Hi Foreigner

A good start is Chaim Herzog's The Arab Israeli Wars. Although as the title implies it more concentrates on the wars, it does provide excellent political background to each. Herzog does not go into controversies like the settlements, or whether the Arabs who lived in Palestine were chased off their homes by the Israelis or fled on their own, but it is a good concise history of the conflict since 1948.

Herzog was President of Israel from 1983-93, so he's hardly an unbiased observer. I found his book fair, but I'm a pro-Israeil partisan. Take it or leave it as you wish.

Posted by: The Redhunter Author Profile Page at July 5, 2008 10:24 AM

Thanks for the suggestion, Tom. I've bookmarked it and hope to order it sometime.

Sorry for not replying sooner. I just got back to Taiwan from my holiday a few days ago.

Posted by: The Foreigner at August 13, 2008 5:29 AM

Post a comment




Remember Me?

(you may use HTML tags for style)